Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.273522 0.318388 0.368406 0.428324 0.498194 0.577149 0.673221
2025-02-09 0.206709 0.266980 0.341528 0.440642 0.569196 0.730633 0.949322
2025-02-16 0.168805 0.234086 0.320782 0.444604 0.617429 0.850883 1.191583
2025-02-23 0.141230 0.207471 0.300671 0.441778 0.650874 0.950684 1.415793
2025-03-02 0.118228 0.182501 0.277531 0.428828 0.664916 1.021347 1.604388
2025-03-09 0.106455 0.171817 0.272875 0.441238 0.716517 1.151984 1.899399
2025-03-16 0.094637 0.159037 0.262725 0.442737 0.749839 1.256758 2.165852
2025-03-23 0.086164 0.150315 0.257553 0.450990 0.794290 1.383842 2.485306
2025-03-30 0.076215 0.137629 0.243913 0.442540 0.808184 1.459593 2.723808
2025-04-06 0.068449 0.127690 0.233621 0.438320 0.828402 1.547919 2.995585
2025-04-13 0.062524 0.120299 0.226867 0.439456 0.858149 1.656469 3.318996
2025-04-20 0.059739 0.118428 0.229990 0.459514 0.926255 1.845313 3.824542
2025-04-27 0.056926 0.116279 0.232550 0.479279 0.997372 2.051085 4.398139
2025-05-04 0.053605 0.112711 0.231927 0.492609 1.057328 2.242547 4.970630
2025-05-11 0.049760 0.107552 0.227396 0.497059 1.098866 2.400425 5.491881
2025-05-18 0.045655 0.101309 0.219825 0.493892 1.123192 2.523941 5.952782
2025-05-25 0.041075 0.093457 0.207854 0.479386 1.120027 2.585727 6.278423
2025-06-01 0.039175 0.091391 0.208344 0.493287 1.184116 2.808789 7.022182
2025-06-08 0.036558 0.087347 0.203878 0.494966 1.219308 2.968323 7.631758
2025-06-15 0.034688 0.084837 0.202647 0.504213 1.274029 3.181593 8.408311
2025-06-22 0.031821 0.079565 0.194261 0.494746 1.280614 3.276433 8.888596
2025-06-29 0.029505 0.075390 0.188058 0.490018 1.298749 3.402834 9.472184
2025-07-06 0.027722 0.072359 0.184350 0.491291 1.332852 3.575119 10.207906